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Cuba

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LIFTING THE CUBAN TRADE EMBARGO?

The following excerpts were taken from a study entitled "Seven bad reasons in support of the lifting of the Cuban trade embargo and how to refute them," by Franz Eugen Wagner, Ph.D.

I take it that the debate question for discussion: "What would benefit Cuba now" revolves principally around the issue of Cuban trade embargo. Since I have but a limited amount of time to discuss a complex topic that requires detailed attention and disquisition, I shall try to be as concise as possible and deal with the arguments for and against in its most essential aspects. I shall deal with the objections against the embargo that I have heard most often, followed by a rebuttal.

1. The Cuban trade embargo is unfair. It is not sanctioned by international law. It should be given up unconditionally.

"Unconditionally." This much has Fidel Castro said in an interview with a Venezuelan journalist in the early 90’s, although lately he has agreed, after 40 years of unwillingness to even broach the subject, to discuss the issue of monetary compensation to the American companies he confiscated in the 60’s, If, as a quid pro quo, the United States is willing to factor in the "damages" that the embargo has caused to Cuba. Getting the cues from Castro, one so-called NGO in Cuba, the "Asociacion Nacional de Economistas Cubanos (ANEC)" in declaration to be submitted in a conference devoted to financing the development of poor nations, held in Mexico in March 2002, claimed that due to the various actions of the embargo, the well being of the Cuban people had been affected to the tune of no less than $70 billion dollars since 1960!

However, Castro’s cohorts cannot even agree on the extent of the "damages" brought about by the embargo. According to the declarations of Fernando Ramirez, ranking Cuban diplomat in the United States, before the International Trade Commission in September 2000, the embargo has now caused different economic damages, $300 billion, not $70 billion! which includes the outlandish and unquantifiable "compensation for human misery." Given the wide discrepancy in the figures provided by Castro’s own minions, one cannot but conclude that neither of these figures is reliable, both having been pulled out of Castro’s bag of magic tricks, much in the same manner a magician pulls rabbits out of his hat. So much for the trust we must place in Castro’s statistics.

The embargo was not unfair and whatever damage it may have initially brought about, was self inflicted. It was Fidel Castro’s action that was both unfair and harmful to the Cuban nation as well as the American and Cuban investors, for it involved downright theft and helped fuel the animosity of the U.S. government against his regime. It must be remembered that what prompted the U.S. to slap such a measure is the fact that Castro expropriated American properties, beginning with land, and never made arrangements to pay for such properties, as international law requires.

On October 25, 1960, Fidel Castro, with a stroke of a pen, confiscated 166 enterprises belonging to American companies or individuals, including Sears Roebuck, Woolworth, General Electric, International Harvester, Remington, Otis Elevators and even a Coca Cola distributor. The confiscation of all American assets amounted to more than a billion dollars at 1960’s dollar value. It was preceded by confiscation of land, about 76,000 acres, which belonged to American businesses (we will not consider the confiscation of land in the hands of Cubans), carried out by the so-called Agrarian Reform Institute which promised but never delivered 20-year promissory bonuses and had no intention of redeeming them, alas!, not even of printing them.

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To this day, both Cuban and American owners of land at the time Castro took over in 1959 are still waiting

for their 4-½% interest yielding bonds! In addition, the U.S. Foreign Claims Settlement Commission has certified 5,911 claims of U.S. Nationals against the government of Cuba totaling approximately $6 billion, with interest, dating back to the early 1960’s. Cubas’s frozen assets, until Bill Clinton unfroze them before leaving office, were a meager $125 million, before $97 million were paid to the families of the pilots of Brothers to the Rescue shot down by Castro’s air force in 1996.

The United States has not placed in the front burner the issue of monetary compensation for the stolen land and other real property, but in exchange it has simply said that if Cuban American relations are to improve, there should at least respect such human rights as freedom of speech, freedom of the press, free monitored elections, etc., in other words rights enshrined in the United Nations’ Universal Declaration of human rights. To this proposition he has given a resounding NO.

The question we must then ask ourselves is: if he is so popular that there is no need to submit to the mechanisms of "formal" democracy, as his followers maintain, why doesn’t he allow the exercise of human rights in his country? Why has his government even rejected the idea of United Nations supervised plebiscite evaluative of his performance? I think the words of the Foreign Affairs Secretary of Mexico, Jorge Castaneda said on April 23, 2002, help to answer these questions. It is because Cuba is, and I quote the Secretary, an "antidemocratic and human rights violating regime."

2. The embargo has lasted more than 40 years and it has not worked. Castro is still there. Let’s abandon it.

Somehow the length of time a measure is applied has something to do with its merits. This is a peculiar and whimsical argument. The Cold War lasted 50 years and only then the Soviet Union collapsed. George Keenan had predicted in the 40’s that the Soviet Union would implode, but his belief was rejected while his idea of containment of the Soviet Union was accepted. The steadfast opposition of the West to Soviet hegemonism made the implosion of the Soviet Union possible. It shows that some policies require long periods of time to be successful.

The drug trade has been fought seriously since the 70’s and it has not waned, yet those of us who are not Libertarians, would not abandon the struggle. This is a bad argument because it assumes that the struggle against international evil should be arbitrarily circumscribed by a time limit. In the case of Cuba, the European Union, while enforcing the economic sanctions against Myanmar, has sabotaged the efforts of the American embargo, by enabling the Cuban satrapy to survive thanks to its investments. Why it adopted different stances in the case of Myanmar and Cuba cannot be explained in ethical terms, but if we follow the money-making trail, we might find the answer. It shows that money acquisition at any cost is the policy approved by the governments of the European Union. Myanmar was probably not as profitable as Cuba for geographic and economic reasons.

The inability of agricultural interests to sell to Cuba is currently cushioned by farm subsidies mechanisms (e.g. the Agricultural Allocation Bill that authorizes funding of up to $78 billion dollars for subsidies to the agricultural sectors and for food stamps recipients). Hence talk of American business interests being harmed by the embargo is unadulterated twaddle, especially if we bear in mind that the amount of the commerce embargoed by the United States constitutes, as Bert Corzo points out in his highly motivated article "Si al embargo" (Cuba Net Debates, March 11, 2001) only 10% of the commerce of Cuba with the world has been embargoed. According to Kathleen Parker of the Chicago Tribune (March 14, 2001) 150 countries enjoy formal trade relations and business associations with Cuba, thus circumventing the embargo.

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As of 2002, there were 412 "mixed enterprises" in Cuba, operated with foreign capital and Cuban government involvement. Spain accounts for the largest amount of foreign investment in Cuba, followed by Canada, Italy, France, Mexico and Great Britain. China and Germany also have been increasing economic involvement in Cuba. Furthermore, according to Ernesto Senti, Vice Minister of Foreign Investment and Economic Collaboration of Cuba, no less than 46 countries are doing business in Cuba with a total investment of about $5,000 million dollars. The same individual has disclosed that European nations constitute 52% of the business association that have invested in Cuba (Cuba Nueva, March 7, 2002).

Indeed, the European Union (EU) is the island’s main trading partner, accounting for around 35% of Cuban exports, while over one million EU tourists visit Cuba each year (The News Mexico.Com, November 6, 2002). Cuba can purchase in these European countries, and in Canada, whatever she needs to insure its economic well being. Hence all this talk that the American trade embargo is "strangling" Cuba’s standard of living is unmitigated balderdash. The "strangler" must be searched elsewhere and every unbiased Cuban knows where he can be found.

As Corzo reminds us, it is not the embargo that concerns so much the Cuban dictator, but the inability to obtain subsidies and credits from the United States which would ultimately be footed by the American people, due to no payments or endlessly delayed payments. We should be wary of opening lines of credit to a country whose external debt is, as of 2002, 1.5 billion dollars with Western countries and 1.2 billion dollars with the former Socialist countries.

As Corzo points out, Cuba has not serviced its external debt since 1992! In addition, according to Reuters, diplomats from the four economically stronger countries of the European Union have disclosed that Cuba owes more than 150 million dollars of commercial credits just for the years 2001-2002, and that three of the four countries which issued those credits had not been paid on time. Cuba is also indebted to Mexico, Spain and Venezuela and is constantly seeking to renegotiate its debt to many countries, e.g. Mexico. In March 2002, it "restructured" its $380 million debt to this Latin American country.

On May 24, 2002, Venezuela’s state-owned oil monopoly Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA), according to certain sources within PDVSA, notified the Cuban government of its intention to stop delivering around 53,000 barrels a day of crude oil due to lack of payment, the Caracas newspaper El Nacional has reported. A PDVSA commission headed by Vice President Jorge Kamkof recommended that company president Ali Rodriguez end a bilateral agreement under which PDVSA supplies Cuba crude oil under favorable financial terms, El Nacional reported, citing a company document. In addition Alejandro Tehran, representing the Asociacion of Trial Lawyers of Venezuela in his suit against President Hugo Chavez before the Supreme Tribunal of Venezuela has reported that after examining certain documents to which he was able to gain access, Cuba, "Petroleos de Venezuela Sociedad Anonima" was owed by Cuba $15 million. (El Nacional, June 26 2002). However, according to more recent figures originating in PDVSA, Cuba’s debt to Venezuela is much higher: $142 million dollars (Dow Jones, July 25, 2002).

In spite that the majority of PDVSA’s board of directors opposed further deliveries of oil without firm guarantees of payment by Cuba, Chavez’ appointed company’s president, Ali Rodriguez, said that the issue of payments had been "resolved." Since no mention was made by the Chavez government of how it intended to collect payment on the debt, one must assume that such a step is not contemplated as of now. Under the agreement with Cuba, 80% of Venezuela’s oil deliveries are to be paid within 90 days of receipt. The remaining 20% is sold in soft terms: payable 15 years with an additional two year grace period and an interest rate of only 2%.

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Frank Calzon (Miami Herald, March 14 2002) has pointed out that one of the best kept secrets is that the trade embargo has saved U.S. taxpayers millions of dollars. Because of the trade embargo, he goes on to say, American banks aren’t among the consortium of European and Canadian creditors (known as the Paris Club) which lent $11,200 millions to Castro and have been waiting for years to be paid.

According to the Miami Herald (April 8, 2002) Cuba suspended payment of its debt to the Paris Club in1986. In 2000, it could not pay $175 million owed to the French credit company COFACE. Castro has indebted Cuba to the tune of $3,000 millions by securing loans from private lenders just to finance its annual deficit. Castro’s inability to pay his debts was so pronounced that in years 2000 and 2001, France, Chile, South Africa, Spain, Thailand and other countries, canceled shipments to Cuba or refused to provide export insurance to the Cuban regime. Cuba owes more than $10 billion.

In a study released in the summer of 2002, the European Union said that foreign investment in Cuba was plummeting. The EU study noted that direct foreign investment in the island during the past five years peaked at $488 million in 2000 and fell to $38.9 million in 2001. The study blamed Cuba’s state-run economy, the red tape involved with practicing capitalism in a communist economy, excessive utility costs because of state monopolies and the arbitrary application of laws toward foreign business. It also cited the embargo as a reason-- but not as the sole or most important reason, I may add. Moreover, according to a 2002 recent article in the Economist magazine: "Cuba is $11 billion in debt. They cannot pay their bills. The sugar industry is failing. Tourism is down 20 percent, the roads, water and electricity are a mess. Cuba is not a good place for investors. As a result, foreign businessmen, frustrated by the bureaucracy, are leaving Cuba in droves."

More than $1 billion is owed to Argentina, England, Canada, Venezuela and Russia. On September 4, 2001, France froze $175 millions in short term commercial credits because the Cuban regime did not pay those credits in a timely manner. A detailed account of why Cuba can be regarded as one of the most indebted countries in the world, a true economic basket case, was documented in the Economist article. In all seriousness, can the trade embargo be also held mostly responsible for Castro’s inability to put all the loans he has received to good use or to his inability to pay them on time as contractually agreed?

It is to this economic basket case that many supporters of the end of the embargo would like to extend American bank credits to sell American goods and hold American taxpayers as their ultimate guarantors. Finally, Dr. Miguel Farias Jr. reminds us that not only Castro’s regime has defaulted in all foreign loans, but, according to Forbes magazine, Fidel Castro has stashed more than $l.4 billion in offshore accounts (Letter to the Editor, Wall Street Journal, May 17, 2002, p. A11).

The U.S.-Cuba Trade and Economic Council of New York recently compiled a series of reports on how international credit reporting agencies evaluate Cuba. According to the Miami Herald (April 8,2002): "The results weren’t promising. Moody’s Investors Service, for example, gives Cuba a Caa rating. Issuers rated Caa are considered ‘very poor financial security.’ The results of the Dunn & Bradstreet International Risk & Payment Review weren’t much better. That report noted that exporters shipping to the Republic of Cuba should prepare for payment delays of 210 to 300 days. No rating… is available from Standard & Poors…The Council wrote to the Central Bank of the Republic of Cuba more than a year ago offering to undertake a credit rating analysis of the country. The rating agency has yet to receive a response."

The Ministry of Foreign Trade of Cuba asked in February 2002 several of its creditors, mostly banks and trading firms to renegotiate $1 billion in commercial debt. According to the U.S.-Cuba Trade and Economic Council, Cuba’s foreign debt stands at $19.9 billion, not including the $24 billion owed to the defunct Soviet Union, a debt that Castro has said he will not service because the Soviet Union no longer exists. Moreover, according to the 2002 Index of Economic Freedom, Cuba ranked 153rd. Only Libya, Iraq and North Korea ranked below.

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This dismal picture of Cuba’s economic well being is sharpened when we are reminded that in 1959, the year Castro took power, Cuba ranked third among Latin American countries in gross domestic product (now ranks twelfth) and that eleven million Cubans produced in 2001 what four million Cubans produced in 1940. These and other interesting statistics are brought to light in Carlos Alberto Montaner’s article "La desmoralizacion de los comunistas" (Cuba Nueva, January 7,2002). Finally, since the embargo has not seriously damaged the economic well being of the country, why is Castro making such a fuss about it? The other reason besides his need to obtain a fresh supply of credits to bolster his decrepit system of government is that the end of the embargo would represent a political victory for him. It would show that the most powerful country in the world has been unable to make Cuba comply with the United Nations Universal Declaration of Human Rights.

Anyone who knows the flatulent pride of the dictator cannot underestimate how this pride, as well as the fact that his political capital in Latin America, would be enhanced by the ending of the embargo. The question then becomes, why should the United States assist him, either through its companies or directly, in preserving his tyranny without at least compelling him to take steps to fully abide by basic human rights? What makes supporters of the lifting of the embargo believe American business more successful in having its credits honored than the Paris Club has been? The track record is there for all to see… In this light, the endeavors of senators such as Byron Dorgan and Christopher Dodd collapse for lack of persuasiveness.

After more than 40 years of penury and dictatorship, Cuba has nothing to show for it, except in the area of education and even there, education has been put at the service of indoctrination and political correctness. Students who are not "integrated" into the Revolution, I.e. willing to support it zealously, are barred from universities and advanced technical schools.

However, in spite of having thousands of university graduates, the productive capacity of goods and services in Cuba is the second lowest in Latin America. In this connection, Prof. Jorge Luis Romeu points out that "According to the 1953 census, the last before Castro, Cubans had the highest socioeconomic level and income per capita in all of Latin America. There was one physician per 1,000 inhabitants, more than 50 percent of the population was urban, and radio, newspapers, roads, and railroads covered the entire country." (The Syracuse Post Standard, May 21, 2002).

3. The American embargo has caused hardships to the Cuban people, but not to Castro and his stalwarts. Why punish the former?

The argument is wrongly framed. Again, what has caused substantive hardships to the Cuban people was the end of the Soviet aid after the collapse of the Soviet Union and the Eastern block. Soviet patronage and subsidies in excess of $4.5 billion a year enabled Castro to better face the trade embargo and intervene militarily in African countries with Soviet weaponry without totally crippling the dole addicted Cuban economy.

But let us examine the wrongs inflicted on the Cuban people by the Castro dictatorship that cannot be even tenuously linked to the current economic relations of the country with the rest of the world. Any measure such as the lifting of the embargo that would reward the forces of evil Castro represents, without the instauration of human rights in that unhappy island would be nothing short but a betrayal of the West’s most cherished democratic traditions. Let us then0 descend in this pit of iniquity that is the Cuban regime, to fully understand why there can’t be a relief to this regime, a relief that is not even dictated by the perceived national interest of the United States.

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In a book unpublished as of this writing, entitled "The Human Cost of Social Revolution," Armando M. Lago (Ph.D in Economics, Harvard University) and Juan Carlos Espinosa mention some hardships inflicted on the Cuban people that advocates of the end of the embargo ignore. Dr. Lago and Espinosa list by name persons who have died in Castro’s prisons since 1959: 30,000 of them executed; 5,000 due to beatings and lack of medical care while imprisoned; 2,000 as a result of extra judicial assassinations. In addition, they write, 60,000 have died while trying to escape Cuba by sea since he came to power. Consider that only in the exodus of 1994 by sea, it is estimated that 4,000 persons died by drowning, twice as many of the deaths that occurred between 1953-1958 on both sides during the struggle against Fulgencio Batista’s dictatorship.* The magnitude of the crimes committed by the Cuban regime can be best appreciated when one realizes that Augusto Pinochet has been accused of killing about 3,000 human beings during the early stages of his coup in Chile yet has been more intensely pilloried than Castro for his horrendous assassinations and abuses of human rights.

Dr. Lago and Espinosa have not been, of course, the only ones to have documented human rights abuses in Cuba. Agustin Blazquez and Jaums Sutton refer to the United Nations involvement in such documentation in "Against All Hope: The Struggle Goes On, "NewsMax.com, March 21, 2002. They write: it wasn’t until 1988 that a group of United Nations ambassadors was able to visit Cuba for 11 days and documented "137 cases of torture, 7 disappearances, political assassinations and thousands of violations" of human rights. This trip was summarized in a 400-page report, which was the longest report ever to appear on the agenda of the United Nations.

This 1988 report included "locking political prisoners in refrigerated rooms; blindfolded immersions in pools; intimidation by dogs; firing squad simulations; beatings, forced labor; confinement for years in dungeons called gavetas; the use of loudspeakers with deafening sounds during hunger strikes; degradation of prisoners by forced nudity in punishment cells; withholding water during hunger strikes, forcing prisoners to present themselves in the nude before their families (to force them to accept plans for political rehabilitation); Denial of medical assistance for the sick; and forcing those condemned to die to carry their own coffins and dig their own grave prior to being shot.

Advocates of the end of the embargo do not like to talk about Castro inflicted hardships on his thousands of victims and the Cuban people in general… It is obvious that they fail to mention these hardships because these dreadful calamities cannot be attributed to the embargo. The United Nations Commission of Human-Rights has condemned Cuba for serious violations of human rights nine times out of ten. between 1990 and the year 2000. In April of 2002, the same Commission, in its annual meeting called on Cuba to grant civil and political rights representative to help its officials comply with the resolution, a proposal, not surprisingly, Castro’s government rejected this United Nations request.

Cuba is also described as the most critical situation for freedom of expression in the Hemisphere in the Report on Intellectual Freedom in the Americas (Year 2000) of the Inter-American Comission on Human Rights, and every major human rights organization, such as Latin America Watch, Human Rights Watch, Pax Christi, Reporters Without Frontiers (RSF), a Paris-based organization which has described the Cuban regime as "a predator of press freedom" (The News, May 4, 2002, RSF reports that Cuba is among the six countries with least press freedom.

Out of 139 countries evaluated, Cuba ranked 134. Amnesty International has repeatedly drawn attention to violations of human rights in Cuba. However, these human rights violations and suppression of freedom of the press are not seen as an additional justification of the embargo by proponents of its lifting. These are the same "double standards" individuals that did not mind economic sanctions against apartheid in South Africa or, against Haiti under the military rule of Cedras and his fellow generals.

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At the beginning of 2002, the highest court in Belgium accepted for eventual adjudication the lawsuit signed by thousands of Cubans victims of the regime, accusing the two Castro brothers and some of his highest military cronies of crimes against humanity. However, the fact that the Belgian court found enough merit in the complaint to accept it, leaves Congressmen Charles Rangel, Jose Serrano, Christopher Dodd, Ralph Nader and some other U.S. legislators of rice and wheat producing states, unmoved or cynically indifferent.

It should be borne in mind, to return to the role the Soviet Union paid in recent Cuban history, that this country paid higher than world market prices for Cuban sugar* and took thousands of Cubans to be educated in its universities and technical schools. It also sold oil to Cuba at depreciated values. It armed Cuba with "grants" that were not considered debts. In short, Cuba became the "welfare case of the Eastern block. Many thinking heads from Henry Kissinger to Senator Christopher Dodd, tell us it is time to end the embargo, but they never provide a sound argument for doing so.

The embargo does not explain why Cubans in the island have to beg their relatives in the U.S. to send them aspirin, penicillin, insulin, cold and asthma medications, as well as many other basic medications, because none can be found in Cuban pharmacies (Can the Cuban government not buy them in Canada with the hard currency its tourists leave in the Island every year?) Neither can the embargo explain why even sugar has been rationed in the past, or why no adult Cuban can drink a glass of milk after 40 years of Revolution, or why Cubans still need to use ration cards to purchase limited amounts of staples not embargo related. The journalist Jeff Jacoby reported in the Boston Globe (March 14, 2002, p A15) that in one state-owned store he visited that caters to Cubans with pesos, he found that not only milk was unavailable, but that also laundry soap, toothpaste, salt, matches, fruits, green vegetables, cheese and meat were also unavailable. Again, since many of these staples are not imported, why should de Cuban trade embargo be blamed for their scarcity, especially when they can be bought at state-owned store that deal only in dollars?

We must bear in mind that Cuba has the money to build its medical biotechnological sector for export or to treat patients from abroad willing to pay in dollars. There is in Cuba aspirin and penicillin for those foreign patients, indeed. It should also be pointed out that since 1992, the United States Treasury Department has licensed the transfer of $230 million of humanitarian aid to Cuba--more than the United States humanitarian provided to any other country. An account of how this aid was distributed is the least congressmen that favor the end of the trade embargo could ask of Castro’s regime.

Roberto Rodriguez in his article "El embargo, que embargo?" in Junta Patriotica (October 1st, 1999) writes that the per annum dollar disbursement of the Cuban exiles who visit and send money to their relatives in Cuba, is at least $600 million per annum. The president of the U.S. Cuba Trade and economic Council, John Kavulich estimates that the remittances of exiles can be thought to be anywhere between $375 million and $1 billion.

The previous figures differ, but not extremely, from the figures provided by James B. Cunningham, the U.S. Deputy Representative to the United Nations on the Economic, Commercial and Financial Embargo Against Cuba at the General Assembly Plenary, who declared in 2001 that $800 million in direct cash remittances and $350 million in humanitarian donations have been received in Cuba from the United States. Reliable statistics on how much money Cubans in the United States and American citizens visitors have spent in Cuba are hard to locate, even as guess estimates. We know that, for instance, of the 150,000 authorized visitors to Cuba who flew in from the United States alone, in 1998, 82,000 of them of Cuban origin and 68,000 native Americans.

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The Cuban population (roughly 11 million) obtains its hard currency, mainly, by either working in the tourist and tobacco industries or by receiving it from Cubans abroad. It thus seems that the Cuban exile community, whose leaders are described by Castro as a "mafia" is, if the previous figures are correct, ironically, among the strongest but unwitting and emotionally exploited mainstay of the dictatorship.

Tourism, as we have seen has benefited the Cuban government and the Canadian and European hotel consortia, but not the average Cuban, since it has helped create a two-tier economy, one tier made of Cubans with access to dollars, especially those working in the tourist industry who receive tips in dollars, and the other tier without such an access. The economic apartheid is deeply resented by many Cubans who view themselves as second lass citizens in their own country, unable to buy anything in dollar-only stores, but also unable to use the beaches and hotels frequented by foreign tourists, which means the best facilities Cuba has to offer.

Finally, some advocates of lifting the embargo claim that the infusion of tourist dollars and of investments that the end of the embargo would allow, would benefit the Cuban people. "Doing business with Cuba unavoidably props up the regime because of the way Castro has designed the rules of the game. Castro double-dips from joint ventures: first by splitting the profits, and secondly by stealing from the Cuban workers. Companies must pay Castro for each worker, in cash, and the regime in turn pockets 95%, doling out the remaining 5% in pesos." writes Joel Mow bray (National Review On-line, May 24, 2002). The end of the embargo would allow Castro to expand its exploitation of the Cuban people by doing what he does now to a larger number of exploited victims.

4. The next reason in favor of doing away with the embargo runs as follows: Look here, there is money to be made in Cuba.

Remember Coolidge’s, the "business of America is business?" If everything else fails, appeal to greed. There are some salivating mouths claiming that 6 billion dollars worth of goods and commodities could be sold to Cuba. But unless the U.S takes the place of the Soviet Union and initially subsidizes the Cuban economy with credits and loans (coming out of American tax paying pockets), and build its shattered infrastructure at a cost of billions upon billions of dollars.

To prop a hardened totalitarian dictatorship unwilling to make the slightest concession in the arena of human rights, judged to be the worst violator of these rights in this hemisphere? Surely, in exchange for the turmoil the removal of the embargo would cause, the least the U.S. should expect is the democratization of the island and a reintroduction of Cuba into the community of democratic nations. It is time to disabuse those who advocate the lifting of the Cuban trade embargo of the notion that the lifting of this embargo will carry with it no serious economic consequences for the U.S., especially if it is accompanied by the lifting of price supports, subsidies and protective barriers which have hitherto sheltered American sugar producers. While the latter is not likely in the short run, it must be kept in mind that Cuban sugar is bound to play an important role in post-embargo Cuban American relations, and in disrupting the present delicate status quo.

5. If we end the embargo, Latin American countries, none of which officially support the embargo, will be more sympathetic to the United States. It might usher in another "Good Neighbor Policy."

That is one way of seeing it based entirely on undisciplined speculation. But a more plausible way of seeing the situation shows that it will send a message to Hugo Chavez, the leftist demagogue currently

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President of Venezuela and admirer of Fidel Castro, who has spoken of an "axis of power" with Cuba and

other likeminded countries, to the Colombian NarcoMarxist guerrillas (FARC) who have been fighting against their government since 1964, to the leftist Zapatista Liberation Army guerrillas of Chiapas, Mexico, and even to the Sandinistas of Nicaragua and the members of the FMLN of El Salvador, not to mention to the thousands of U.S. haters in Latin America who will rejoice in the fact that the Caribbean petty tinhorn dictator was eye-ball to eye-ball with the imperialistic gringo 500 lb., gorilla and the gorilla blinked after 40 years of intense starring. The prestige of Castro, who once described the United States as "a vulture feeding on the bodies of humanity, will be tremendously enhanced and free shot of adrenalin will be given to Anti-Americanism and Marxism-Leninism en Latin America.

Chavez of Venezuela is becoming increasingly strident in his class war and truculent language ---especially after witnessing the indecisive and frightened attitude of Clinton vis-à-vis Castro, and the refusal of Congress to fund the anti guerrilla war in the sums requested by the Colombian President, wary of sliding into another Vietnam. The ripple effect would be a vindication of Castro and would produce consequences in Latin America that cannot be foreseen, but are not likely to be minor. Indeed, a crypto-Marxist like Chavez has realized that opposition to the Castroite tyranny has waned of late in the U.S. thanks to the likes of Dodd, Rangel and Waters, and the simplistic Council on Foreign Relations, who have concluded that Castro must now be openly aided.

6. Democrat sympathizers usually argue that economic sanctions must invariably be opposed. Is it ethical stance to make the people pay for the "sins" of its leaders? Hence the Cuban embargo must go.

This is a very weird sort of logic. Those that advance this "ethical" proposition are those who usually favored the ec0onomic sanctions against South Africa during the apartheid regime, and against Cedras’ Haiti, (was Rep. Charles Rangel opposed to the economic sanctions against Haiti or actively promoted it?)

Against the Burmese junta, or against Yugoslavia, but do not favor economic sanctions against Cuba’s tyrannical regime. There are tyrannies and then there are tyrannies, it seems, and they select which they are going to oppose by applying a simplistic litmus test: Is it a Communist tyranny or is it a right wing tyranny?

Sometimes they remain silent about certain embargoes for other political reasons. For instance, they remain silent about the economic sanctions against Iraq, while raising a hue and cry about the trade sanctions of Cuba, yet it is alleged that hundred of thousands of Iraqi children have died as a result of the United Nations embargo. Perhaps it just a question of listening to their "Master’s voice." Perhaps they remember what Clinton said about Iraq in the late 90’s: according to Shyam Bhatia and Daniel McGrory, authors of recently published book: Brighter than the Baghdad Sun: Saddam Hussein’s Threat to the United States, These authors report that Clinton is alleged to have said: "Sanctions (of Iraq) will stay until the end of time, or as long as Saddam lasts."

Remember, in this context what his Secretary of State Madeleine Albright said about Saddam Hussein, as reported in Robert Kaplan’s The Coming Anarchy?: Saddam is the most dangerous man since Hitler. If this is the case, why not try to persuade to remove the threat by any means at the US’s disposal? The U.S. government has not been as damning of Castro, and yet we have not seen the Congressional Black Caucus of the Democratic Party, or Senator Dodd, carry water for Iraq as they have done it for Castro’s Cuba.

Inconsistency, whim, opportunism, and in many cases pro-Communist sympathies, as is clearly the case with Congressman Serrano. Is what governs the actions of a certain ilk of Democrat politician, not a

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reasoned assessment of the true national interest. After all, Democrats like Charles Rangel (who is on friendly terms and has visited the Caribbean tyrant in his lair). The notorious Maxine Waters, and Christopher Dodd did not want to ruffle the feathers of Clinton when it comes to Iraq, but know that his feathers were not that easily ruffled when it came to Cuba. It seems that they get their cues and marching orders from the top echelons of their party and inveighing they go. Certain Republicans, like the infamous Senator Nethercutt and Warner are no better.

The question, it must be repeated, that the reader must ask himself/herself is why so much concern with the economic sanctions against Cuba, but not so much against sanctions against Iraq, Burma, and Iran, to mention a few states who are known for their human rights abuses? What made Cubans eligible for this preferential concern, after all? It cannot be because Castro has been one of the most relentless opponent of American foreign policy, or because the powers that be are afraid of another Mariel boatlift, could it? The acolytes of Castro in this country are not forthcoming with an answer. Indeed, we may have to wait, to use a phrase of Adlai Stevenson, until hell freezes over for one.

7. We grant full diplomatic recognition to, and engage in trade with China. Why not trade with Cuba?

The reason is diaphanous. American foreign policy, alas! Is governed by realism, not missionary zeal to save the world for democracy or to defend human rights. This claim is easily redeemed when we remember that under President Richard Nixon in the 70’s, the United States proposed to Cuba the "normalization " of relations if it ceased to aid the Marxist rebels in Central America, withdraw from Angola and ceased to serve as a proxy for the Soviet Union. This quid pro quo did not involved compliance with human rights as formulated by the United Nations at all.

Human rights are fine, but as long as they coincide with the perceived "national interest." Human rights do not form an essential part of the perceived "national interest." If the two coincide, so much the better, we can dust off our democratic ideals once more. One may not like this posture, but the brute facts are that American foreign is best understood if conceived in realistic, not idealistic terms. Perceived "national interest," a shibboleth that enables the governing elite to take actions in the name of more sinister and hidden promoters of self interest and business calculation or political gamesmanship, override human rights in the long term. Viewed in these terms, China and Cuba differ and gave been treated differently for the following pragmatically realistic reasons: ( for complete text visit: www.cubainfolinks.net ).

To conclude, the case of the Cuban tyranny allows the U.S. the privilege to live up to the ideals of democracy and human rights without adversely affecting its national interest and perhaps even advancing it. Because the national interest, whether imagined, perceived or objectively ascertained, is not only not at stake in the case of Cuba, but may be harmed by the uplifting of the trade embargo, the argument under consideration falls flat on its face. Professor Jaime Suchlicki, director of the Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies at the University of Miami has summarized the case in support of the embargo without meaningful changes in Cuba, in clear terms. I agree with him that lifting the embargo without meaningful changes will bring about the following deleterious effects:

* Guarantee the continuation of the current totalitarian structures.

* Strenghten state enterprises, since money will flow into businesses owned by the Cuban government.

* Lead to greater repression and control since Castro and the leadership will fear that United States influence will subvert the revolution.

* Delay instead of accelerate a transition to democracy on the island.

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* Allow Castro to borrow from international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank. Since Cuba owes billions of dollars and has refused in the past to acknowledge or pay these debts, new loans will be wasted by Castro’s inefficient system and will be uncollectable.

* Perpetuate the control that the military holds over the economy and foster the further development of mafia-tyupe groups.

* Negate the basic tenets of U.S. policy in Latin America, which emphasize democracy, human rights and market economies.

* Send the wrong message to the enemies of the U.S. that a foreign leader can seize U.S. properties without compensation, allow the use of his territory for the intgroduction of nuclear missiles aimed a the US, espouse terrorism and anti-US causes throughout the world; and eventually the U.S. will "forget and forgive," and reward him with tourism, investments and economic aid.

I rest my case.

Copyrighted by the author, Franz Eugen Wagner, Ph.D. All rights of reproduction and distribution reserved.

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